Does AI/Vibe Coding Really Deliver 10x Productivity?
In early 2026, Anthropic published a case study: 16 Claude agents, working in parallel Docker containers, wrote 100,000 lines of Rust code in a few weeks — a C compiler that could successfully compile the Linux kernel. The API bill came to roughly $20,000. By almost any measure, it was an extraordinary result.
Then I mentioned it to a friend of mine, a CTO at a small startup. His response: "The best strategy right now is probably to wait."
That tension — between a genuine technical milestone and a seasoned engineer's skepticism — is what this post is really about.
